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Aggregation in Large Dynamic Panels
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129942
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Nonresponse and Focal Point Answers to Subjective Probability Questions
Kleinjans, Kristin J. - 2010
We develop and estimate a panel data model explaining the answers to questions about subjective probabilities, using data from the US Health and Retirement Study. We explicitly account for nonresponse, rounding, and focal point 50 percent answers. Our results indicate that for three of the four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136709
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An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi - 2012
-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy's steady state growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107701
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Aggregation in Large Dynamic Panels
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2015
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038262
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A Multiple Testing Approach to the Regularisation of Large Sample Correlation Markets
Bailey, Natalia - 2014
This paper proposes a novel regularisation method for the estimation of large covariance matrices, which makes use of insights from the multiple testing literature. The method tests the statistical significance of individual pair-wise correlations and sets to zero those elements that are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051612
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Home Production and Retirement in Couples : A Panel Data Analysis
Bonsang, Eric - 2015
We analyse the effects of retirement of one partner on home production by both partners in a couple. Using longitudinal data from Germany on couples, we control for fixed household specific effects to address the concern that retirement decisions are correlated with unobserved characteristics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016335
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Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
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An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021
-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy’s steady state growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315924
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Modelling Volatilities and Conditional Correlations in Futures Markets with a Multivariate T Distribution
Pesaran, Bahram; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021
This paper considers a multivariate t version of the Gaussian dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model proposed by Engle (2002), and suggests the use of devolatized returns computed as returns standardized by realized volatilities rather than by GARCH type volatility estimates. The t-DCC...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316934