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large parts of the world. In this paper we explore the financial and the trade channel in a unified framework and quantify …, resulting in larger cumulated output losses and a prolonged crisis particularly in the UK. Stricter enforcement of bank capital …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920861
There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155560
This paper examines the time-profile of the impact of systemic banking crises on GDP and industrial production using a panel of 24 countries over the inter-war period and compares this to the post-war experience of these countries. We show that banking crises have effects that induce medium-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024666
major sets of crises (post-World War I crisis and the Great Depression); the post-World War II financial lock-down, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988973
Most theoretical central bank models use short horizons and focus on a single tradeoff. However, in reality central … bankruptcy. We term these factors discipline and stability effects, respectively. The central bank's welfare decreases with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080504
world have altered the transmission mechanism of international business cycles to Latin America. Evidence based on a Global … world shows that the long-term impact of a China GDP shock on the typical Latin American economy has increased by three … associated with a deceleration in China's economic growth in the future for both Latin America and the rest of the world economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121741
We explore whether the global financial crisis has had heterogeneous effects on traded goods differentiated by quality. Combining a dataset of Argentinean firm-level destination-specific wine exports with quality ratings, we show that higher quality exports grew faster before the crisis, but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010482
This paper examines the impact on inequality and poverty of the economic crisis in four European countries, namely France, Germany, the UK and Ireland, and the contribution of tax and benefit policy changes. The period examined, 2008 to 2010, was one of great economic turmoil, yet it is unclear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061934
Recent research convincingly shows that crises beget reform. Although the consensus is that economic crises foster macroeconomic stabilization, it is silent on which types of crises cause which types of reform. Is it economic or political crises that are the most important drivers of structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317524
Occasional crises have been shown to be part of growth enhancing mechanism (see Rancière, Tornell and Westermann, 2008). In this paper, we document that neither the stereotypical case study of India vs. Thailand, nor the benchmark growth-regression in this earlier research support this result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914607