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On the estimation and forecasting of international migration: how relevant is heterogeneity across countries?
Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2005
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010267584
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On the Estimation and Forecasting of International Migration: How Relevant Is Heterogeneity Across Countries?
Brücker, Herbert; Siliverstovs, Boriss - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2005
This paper performs a comparative analysis of estimation as well as of out-of-sample forecasting results of more than … estimates of the migration function. Out-of-sample forecasting results indicate the following: (i) the standard fixed effects … variables estimators, (iv) forecasting performance of heterogenous estimators is mediocre in our data set. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005703752
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Climate Effects of Carbon Taxes, Taking into Account Possible Other Future Climate Measures
Habermacher, Florian - 2013
The increase of fuel extraction costs as well as of temperature will make it likely that in the medium-term future technological or political measures against global warming may be implemented. In assessments of a current climate policy the possibility of medium-term future developments like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093629
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Unconventional Gas and the European Union : Prospects and Challenges for Competitiveness
Vollebergh, Herman R.J. - 2014
This article studies the likely impact of unconventional gas developments in the U.S. on EU competitiveness. We find, first of all, little evidence for a prosperous unconventional gas development in Europe. Second, the U.S. boom has already a strong impact on both world and European energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044543
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Modeling Fluctuations in the Global Demand for Commodities
Kilian, Lutz - 2018
transmission of commodity price shocks to commodity-importing and exporting economies, and for commodity price forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930077
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Unintended Detrimental Effects of Environmental Policy : The Green Paradox and Beyond
van der Werf, Edwin - 2015
Well-intended policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions may have unintended undesirable consequences. Recently, a large amount of literature has emerged showing under what conditions this so-called ‘Green Paradox' may occur. We review this literature and identify the key mechanisms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037941
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UK Natural Gas : Gas-Specific or Oil Driven Pricing?
Asche, Frank; Oglend, Atle; Osmundsen, Petter - 2021
In this paper we investigate the time-varying relationship between oil and natural gas in the UK. We develop a model where relative prices can move between pricing-regimes; markets switch between being decoupled and integrated. Our model endogenously accounts for periods where oil and natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315670
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The Supply Side of CO2 with Country Heterogeneity
Hoel, Michael - 2021
Several recent articles have analyzed climate policy giving explicit attention to the non-renewable character of carbon resources. In most of this literature the economy is treated as a single unit, which in the context of climate policy seems reasonable to interpret as the whole world. However,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316039
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Is There a Green Paradox?
Hoel, Michael - 2021
A sufficiently rapidly rising carbon tax may increase near-term emissions compared with the case of no carbon tax. Even so, such a carbon tax path may reduce total costs related to climate change, since the tax may reduce total carbon extraction. A government cannot commit to a specific carbon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316163
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Unconventional Gas and the European Union: Prospects and Challenges for Competitiveness
Vollebergh, Herman R. J.; Drissen, Eric - CESifo - 2014
This article studies the likely impact of unconventional gas developments in the U.S. on EU competitiveness. We find, first of all, little evidence for a prosperous unconventional gas development in Europe. Second, the U.S. boom has already a strong impact on both world and European energy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948880