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similar credentials) on wages. Using a simple model of asymmetric information, I show that RDD estimates the information value … of a diploma. A positive information value arises if employers, unable to observe the test score that determines diploma … information value regardless of whether workers' productivity is solely determined by acquisition of knowledge and skills through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929537
Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate countercyclical movement in both aggregate conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956881
The central vs. local nature of high-school exit exam systems can have important repercussions on the labor market. By increasing the informational content of grades, central exams may improve the sorting of students by productivity. To test this, we exploit the unique German setting where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020502
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003654356
This paper explores the introduction of collective risk-sharing elements in defined contribution pension contracts. We consider status-contingent, age-contingent and asset contingent risk-sharing arrangements. All arrangements raise aggregate welfare, as measured by equivalent variations. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118167
information content of SPF forecasts directly. Furthermore, we take the first step towards a possible resolution of this puzzle by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090002
From a theoretical perspective, the output gap is probably the most comprehensive and convincing concept to describe the cyclical position of an economy. Unfortunately, for practical purposes, the concept depends on the determination of potential output, which is an inherently unobservable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316121
This paper examines the process of price discovery in the MTS system, which builds on the parallel quoting of euro-denominated government securities on a number of (relatively large) domestic markets and on a (relatively small) European marketplace (EuroMTS). Using twenty-seven months of daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095113
in the formation of humanitarian aid flows. We construct a novel dataset combining information on birth regions of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915575
Reliable early warning signals are essential for timely implementation of macroeconomic and macro-prudential policies. This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial (systemic) risks. Forecasts are obtained from: (a)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024363