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Short and Long-Run Behaviour of Long-Term Sovereign Bond Yields

Afonso, António - 2010

This study assesses the short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields in OECD countries, for the period 1973-2008. We employ a dynamic panel approach to reflect financial and economic integration, and to increase the performance and accuracy of the tests. Given the existence of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135912

Self-Fulfilling Crises in the Eurozone : An Empirical Test

De Grauwe, Paul - 2013

We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self-fulfilling liquidity crises than in stand-alone countries. We find evidence that a significant part of the surge in the spreads of the PIGS countries in the Eurozone during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090949

The European Central Bank : Lender of Last Resort in the Government Bond Markets?

De Grauwe, Paul - 2013

The sovereign debt crisis has made it clear that central banking is more than keeping inflation low. Central banks are also responsible for financial stability. An essential tool in maintaining financial stability is provided by the capacity of the central bank to be the lender of last resort in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092424

A Fragile Eurozone in Search of a Better Governance

De Grauwe, Paul - 2013

When entering a monetary union, member-countries change the nature of their sovereign debt in a fundamental way (e.g., they cease to have control over the currency in which their debt is issued). As a result, financial markets can force these countries' sovereigns into default. In this sense,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092900

The Fragility of Two Monetary Regimes : The European Monetary System and the Eurozone

Ji, Yuemei - 2013

We analyze the similarities and the differences in the fragility of the European Monetary system (EMS) and the Eurozone. We test the hypothesis that in the EMS the fragility arose from the absence of a credible lender of last resort in the foreign exchange markets while in the Eurozone it was...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072510

Spend-and-Tax : A Panel Data Investigation for the EU

Afonso, António - 2009

, we study the causality between government spending and revenue for the EU in the period 1960-2006. We find spend … Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States. Moreover, in the run-up to EMU there was some shifting away from a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158140

‘Whatever It Takes’ to Resolve the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? Bond Pricing Regime Switches and Monetary Policy Effects

Afonso, António - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943161

3-Step Analysis of Public Finances Sustainability : The Case of the European Union

Afonso, António - 2008

We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF … and revenues via SUR analysis. While results imply that public finances were not unsustainable for the EU panel, fiscal …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770443

EU-Accession Effects on Sectoral Trade : A Helpman-Melitz-Rubinstein Approach with Panel Data

Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada - 2014

This paper estimates the effects of the EU enlargements in the 2000s for trade in parts and components and trade in … EU and OECD countries. The estimation approach accounts for firm heterogeneity and selection bias in a panel …-data framework. We find a positive and significant effect of the EU-accession on CEECs trade in intermediate and final goods. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049209

Can and Should the EU's Eastern Partnership Be Saved?

Gylfason, Thorvaldur - 2014

In a major setback for the EU, only two of four Eastern Partnership countries actually initialed Association Agreements … the EU, the paper shows that the Eastern Partnership countries, including Ukraine, by far the largest in the group, gain … significantly from free trade agreements with the EU, but gain little if anything from free trade agreements with Russia …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050477