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This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major …-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second, we develop a novel empirical framework. We propose a dynamic ordered probit … aid on conflict by predicting bilateral aid flows based on electoral outcomes of donor countries that are exogenous to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979126
This research advances the hypothesis and establishes empirically that interpersonal population diversity has contributed significantly to the emergence, prevalence, recurrence, and severity of intrasocietal conflicts. Exploiting an exogenous source of variations in population diversity across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916960
We use an excludable instrument to test the effect of bilateral foreign aid on economic growth in a sample of 96 recipient countries over the 1974-2009 period. We interact donor government fractionalization with a recipient country's probability of receiving aid. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970832
The diversion of development aid to the recipient's military may be one explanation why aid is often found to be ineffective in promoting economic growth and development. Previous studies have not derived the causal effects of development aid on military expenditure. Using a new instrumental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979665
We investigate the effects of short-term political motivations on the effectiveness of foreign aid. Donor countries' political motives might reduce the effectiveness of conditionality, channel aid to inferior projects or affect the way aid is spent in other ways, reduce the aid bureaucracy's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079379
As is now well documented, aid is given for both political as well as economic reasons. The conventional wisdom is that politically-motivated aid is less effective in promoting developmental objectives. We examine the ex-post performance ratings of World Bank projects and generally find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316223
open civil conflict against the government. Our model implies that terrorism emerges if constraints on the ruling executive … group are intermediate and rents are sizeable, whereas conflict looms under poor executive constraints. Analyzing annual … when considering the incidence and onset of terrorism and conflict. The corresponding magnitudes are economically sizeable …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930080
We investigate the effect of U.S. military aid and U.S. troop deployments on anti-American terrorism, using a sample of 106 countries between 1986 and 2011. We find that greater military commitment leads to more anti-American terrorism. We study the underlying mechanisms using a mediation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943157
, we show that substituting the auction contest success function for the lottery contest success function in a conflict may … radicals. Our results demonstrate the importance of the choice of the institutions of conflict, as modeled by the contest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106913
conflict and more intense fighting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088227