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Self-Fulfilling Crises in the Eurozone : An Empirical Test

De Grauwe, Paul - 2013

We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self … countries in the Eurozone during 2010-11 was disconnected from underlying increases in the debt to GDP ratios and fiscal space … argue that this can drive member countries of the Eurozone into bad equilibria. We also find evidence that after years of …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090949

Fiscal Spillovers in the Euro Area

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2012

This paper analyses the dynamic effects of fiscal imbalances in a given EMU member state on the borrowing costs of other countries in the euro area. The estimation of a multivariate, multi-country time series model (specifically a Global VAR, or GVAR) using quarterly data for the EMU period...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112600

‘Whatever It Takes’ to Resolve the European Sovereign Debt Crisis? Bond Pricing Regime Switches and Monetary Policy Effects

Afonso, António - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943161

The Sovereign Default Problem in the Eurozone : An Insurance-Based Approach

Arnold, Nadjeschda - 2015

This paper argues that the Eurozone crisis stems from a risk management failure in the Eurosystem's design, and that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020584

Regional Heterogeneity, the Rise of Public Debt and Monetary Policy in Post-Bubble Japan : Lessons for the EMU

Fischer, Raphael - 2016

Both Japan and parts of the European Monetary Union have experienced boom and bust in stock and real estate markets, which have been followed by a lasting crisis. The paper analyses the role of a high degree of regional heterogeneity for public debt and monetary policy in the context of crisis....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988893

A Mechanism to Regulate Sovereign Debt Restructuring in the Euro Area

Andritzky, Jochen R. - 2016

To make the no-bailout clause credible and enhance the effectiveness of crisis assistance, a consistent institutional and legal framework is needed to ensure that private creditors contribute to crisis resolution. Getting activated as part of ESM crisis assistance, we propose a two-stage...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982263

The Bail-Out! Positive Political Economics of Greek-Type Crises in the EMU

Fahrholz, Christian - 2013

The Greek bail-out was highly controversial. An oft-heard assessment is that i) the bail-out was a mistake, ii) the political haggling over it was irrational and iii) the bail-out will create a moral hazard problem. Contrary to this view, our analysis suggests that, given EMU's present...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094281

Banking and Debt Crises in Europe : The Dangerous Liaisons?

Candelon, Bertrand - 2013

The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated. After reviewing the criteria used to measure the debt vulnerability, the balance sheet approach (BSA) is presented in order to illustrate the potential connections between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094890

The Greek Debt Crisis : Likely Causes, Mechanics and Outcomes

Arghyrou, Michael - 2010

We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135455

External Sovereign Debt in a Monetary Union : Bailouts and the Role of Corruption

Achury, Carolina - 2011

We build a tractable stylized model of external sovereign debt and endogenous international interest rates. In corrupt economies with rent-seeking groups stealing public resources, a politico-economic equilibrium is characterized by permanent fiscal impatience which leads to excessive issuing of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121867