Showing 1 - 10 of 10
This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783809
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019040
number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316577
We estimate the effect of political regime transitions on growth with semi-parametric methods, combining difference in differences with matching, that have not been used in macroeconomic settings. Our semi-parametric estimates suggest that previous parametric estimates may have seriously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317020
-specific foreign output variable to capture direct inter-country linkages. In accord with the theory all variables are measured as … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094653
Modelling of conditional volatilities and correlations across asset returns is an integral part of portfolio decision making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations across markets, a trend which has been accentuated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is potentially related to all other micro units, and where micro innovations are allowed to be cross sectionally dependent. Following Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038262
This paper proposes a novel regularisation method for the estimation of large covariance matrices, which makes use of insights from the multiple testing literature. The method tests the statistical significance of individual pair-wise correlations and sets to zero those elements that are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051612
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
-run output equation with a coefficient equal to the share of capital (α). The long-run theory is tested using quarterly data on … results support the long-run theory. The existence of long-run relations between real output, foreign output and real oil … steadily over the past three decades, the theory suggests that the effect of oil income on the economy’s steady state growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315924