Showing 1 - 10 of 25
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119521
the shock. In particular, we find that adverse shocks to Iranian oil output are neutralized in terms of their effects on … contrast, a negative shock to oil supply in Saudi Arabia leads to an immediate and permanent increase in oil prices, given that … supply shock has significant adverse effects for the global economy with real GDP falling in both advanced and emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021694
structural models in the general case where the model might contain more than one permanent structural shock. It provides a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317222
-specific foreign output variable to capture direct inter-country linkages. In accord with the theory all variables are measured as … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply … through error spillover effects. Bootstrapped error bands are also provided for the cross country responses of a shock to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094653
This paper provides a method for the analysis of the spatial and temporal diffusion of shocks in a dynamic system. We use changes in real house prices within the UK economy at the level of regions to illustrate its use. Adjustment to shocks involves both a region specific and a spatial effect....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095156
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054500
Measures of economic uncertainty are countercyclical, but economic theory does not provide definite guidance on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012920871
Academic macroeconomics and the research department of central banks have come to be dominated by Dynamic, Stochastic, General Equilibrium (DSGE) models based on micro-foundations of optimising representative agents with rational expectations. We argue that the dominance of this particular sort...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125067
This paper develops a model for dynamic binary choice panel data that allows for unobserved heterogeneity to be arbitrarily correlated with covariates. The model is of the exponential type. We derive moment conditions that enable us to eliminate the unobserved heterogeneity term and at the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089182
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776