Showing 1 - 10 of 14
This paper is concerned with ex ante and ex post counterfactual analyses in the case of macroeconometric applications where a single unit is observed before and after a given policy intervention. It distinguishes between cases where the policy change affects the model’s parameters and where it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315894
This paper provides a method for the analysis of the spatial and temporal diffusion of shocks in a dynamic system. We use changes in real house prices within the UK economy at the level of regions to illustrate its use. Adjustment to shocks involves both a region specific and a spatial effect....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095156
This paper proposes a theoretical framework to analyze the impacts of credit and technology shocks on business cycle dynamics, where firms rely on banks and households for capital financing. Firms are identical ex ante but differ ex post due to different realizations of firm specific technology...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119521
Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038262
an application to the estimation of panel data models with an infinite number of weak factors and a finite number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158328
This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783809
approach can be applied to estimation of a variety of models such as spatial and dynamic panel data models. In this paper we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943386
This paper proposes a novel regularisation method for the estimation of large covariance matrices, which makes use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051612
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
This paper develops a long-run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the 'Dutch disease' and the 'resource curse', which primarily focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315924