Showing 1 - 10 of 104
that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in … performance. Our analysis has two special features. First, apart from the two labour market states – employment and unemployment … opposite directions while a shock to the net flow from not in the labour force to unemployment drives the rates in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051614
explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate … of employment growth to TFP shocks estimated from Census data induce significant skewness, movements in volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956881
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428
Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are expansionary while those in the investment sector are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315761
quantitative importance of fiscal foresight. We investigate whether JCTCs affect employment growth before, at, and after the time … difference-in-difference regression framework applied to monthly panel data on employment, the JCTC effective and legislative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996337
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119521
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
In this paper, we examine the role of global and domestic credit supply shocks in macroeconomic fluctuations for Emerging Markets. For this purpose, we impose a set of zero and sign restrictions within a medium-scale Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive model. Quarterly data from South Africa and G-7...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080004
We investigate the role played by systematic monetary policy in tackling the real effects of uncertainty shocks in U.S. recessions and expansions. We model key indicators of the business cycle with a nonlinear VAR that allows for different dynamics in busts and booms. Uncertainty shocks are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947523
We employ a parsimonious nonlinear Interacted-VAR to examine whether the real effects of uncertainty shocks are greater when the economy is at the ZeroLower Bound. We find the contractionary effects of uncertainty shocks to be statistically larger when the ZLB is binding, with differences that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947624