role of learning and risk aversion. It bridges two strands of literature: one focused on the role learning for the success … of IEA formation when countries are risk neutral and another that explores the implications of uncertainty and risk … aversion on IEA formation under no learning. Combining learning and risk aversion seems appropriate as the uncertainties …

The argument that policy risk, i.e., uncertainty about monetary and fiscal policy, has been holding back the economic … recovery in the U.S. during the Great Recession has a large popular appeal. We analyze the role of policy risk in explaining … business cycle fluctuations by using an estimated New Keynesian model featuring policy risk as well as uncertainty about …