Showing 1 - 10 of 2,175
The effect of changes in demographic structure on medium-run trends of key macroeconomic variables is estimated using a Panel VAR of 21 OECD economies. The panel data variability assists the identification of direct effects of demographics, while the dynamic structure uncovers long-term effects....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315503
This paper analyses the effects of fiscal shocks using a two-country macroeconomic model for output, labour input, government spending and relative prices which provides the orthogonality restrictions for obtaining the structural shocks. Dynamic simulation techniques are then applied, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316574
The conventional view, as expounded by sticky-price models, is that price adjustment determines the PPP reversion rate. This study examines the mechanism by which PPP deviations are corrected. Nominal exchange rate adjustment, not price adjustment, is shown to be the key engine governing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319983
Historical data for over hundred years and 14 countries is used to estimate the long-run effect of productivity on the … real exchange rate. We find large variations in the productivity effect across four distinct monetary regimes in the sample … argue that changes in trade costs over time may affect the impact of productivity on the real exchange rate over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050476
Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate countercyclical movement in both aggregate conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956881
factor productivity growth–particularly among the less productive firms under private Chinese or foreign ownership, but not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947448
demographics and the productivity of those who will still be active during the up-coming period of demographic ageing. As … productivity is difficult to investigate at a micro level, the paper builds on a large macro-data panel covering developed as well … output per worker as well as on total factor productivity (TFP). The results confirm earlier findings by Feyrer (2007 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316605
productivity depends on their age through the build-up of labour market experience and the depreciation of human capital. We make … wisdom following an increase in longevity, depending on the corresponding change in the age-productivity profile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021702
This paper examines the effects that windfalls from international commodity price booms have on net foreign assets in a panel of 145 countries during the period 1970-2007. The main finding is that windfalls from international commodity price booms lead to a significant increase in net foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092044
pessimism) pertains to total factor productivity, which determines economic activity in the long run. Optimism shocks are … perceived changes in productivity that do not actually materialize. We develop a new strategy to identify optimism shocks in a … and the real-time prediction of professional forecasters. We find that optimism shocks – in line with theory - generate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938129