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inflation, a finding that is at odds with the assumption of constant indexation parameters in most New-Keynesian DSGE models. We … response to aggregate shocks and monetary policy. We show that workers index wages to past inflation when output fluctuations … are primarily explained by technology and permanent inflation-target shocks, whereas they index to trend inflation when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052090
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131601
This paper shows that dynamic inefficiency can occur in dynamic general equilibrium models with fully optimizing, infinitely-lived households even in a situation with underinvestment. We identify necessary conditions for such a possibility and illustrate it in a standard R&D-based growth model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117910
The Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) approach has proven to be a very useful approach to analyze interactions in the global macroeconomy and other data networks where both the cross-section and the time dimensions are large. This paper surveys the latest developments in the GVAR modeling,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052095
Over the past 20 years, macroeconomists have incorporated more and more results from behavioral economics into their models. We argue that doing so has helped fixed deficiencies with standard approaches to modeling the economy — for example, the counterfactual absence of inertia in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053066
individuals use simple rules of thumb (heuristics) to forecast the future inflation and output gap. We compare this model with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753586
I distinguish two types of macroeconomic models. The first type are top-down models in which some or all agents are capable of understanding the whole picture and use this superior information to determine their optimal plans. The second type are bottom-up models in which all agents experience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094816
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095098
indexation to past inflation to vary according to the monetary policy regime. We find that the extent of wage indexation is … significantly lower in an inflation targeting regime, in contrast to monetary targeting, exchange rate targeting and policy regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040001
Major economic reforms have been carried through in Sweden during the last two decades. Most of the reforms have been made in response to long-standing rather than to acute problems. There has usually been a strong perception among economists, policy makers and the general public of the problems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107351