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efficiency improvements are policy-induced in certain regions of the world. We are especially interested in feedback mechanisms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015360
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315722
Some observers have conjectured that the steep decline in the price of oil between June and December 2014 resulted from positive oil supply shocks in the second half of 2014. Others have suggested that a major shock to oil price expectations occurred when in late November 2014 OPEC announced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996804
It has been forty years since the oil crisis of 1973/74. This crisis has been one of the defining economic events of the 1970s and has shaped how many economists think about oil price shocks. In recent years, a large literature on the economic determinants of oil price fluctuations has emerged....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998728
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094836
volatility of the basket. Although, in the past, RMB inclusion would have had negligible impact due to its limited weight, a much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089684
across countries with lower average stock market volatility, crises are more frequent in countries with poor creditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091211
We use a new dataset on non-resource GDP to examine the impact of commodity price volatility on economic growth in a … panel of up to 158 countries during the period 1970-2007. Our main finding is that commodity price volatility leads to a … result, we show that increased commodity price volatility leads to a statistically significant and quantitatively large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092229
show that a greater reliance on foreign market sales increases the conditional volatility of firms' stock returns. The two … economically significant effect on firm-level volatility, although an increase in the intensity of sales through foreign affiliates … has a stronger effect on volatility than a similar change in firms' export intensity. We also uncover evidence consistent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000911
suggests that a global bimetallic system, in which the gold price of silver uctuates, has higher price volatility than a global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955754