Showing 1 - 10 of 155
Although the relationship between natural resources and civil war has received much attention, little is known about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316134
This study investigates the main causes and consequences of import and export smuggling and estimates the relative index of smuggling in Iran from 1970 to 2002. The Multiple Indicators - Multiple Causes (MIMIC) econometric modelling is used for a comprehensive analysis of the latent variable of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012770261
This paper explores official trade data to identify patterns of smuggling in international trade. Our main measure of interest is the difference in matched partner trade statistics, i.e., the extent to which the recorded export value in the source country deviates from the reported import value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316439
decline has tended to offset the effects of drug policies aimed at reducing drug use in major industrial countries. The main … margin (the difference between the retail and producer prices) in the drug business. We develop the hypothesis, and give some … some thoughts about the effects of globalization on the effectiveness of drug policies and argue that globalization may …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317059
systematically more likely to slip into civil conflict and civil war. Intuitively, political preferences and beliefs of highly … polarization and test its predictive power in explaining the likelihood of civil conflict and civil war, analyzing 146 countries … educational polarization is associated with a 4.6 and 3.8 percentage point rise in the chances of civil conflict and civil war …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964049
We combine original geo-referenced data on mining extraction of 15 minerals with information on conflict events at spatial resolution of 0.5o x 0.5o for all Africa over 1997-2010. Exploiting exogenous variations in world prices, we find a positive impact of mining on conflict at the local level....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019854
of civil war outbreak with more comprehensive data. I find that international commodity price downturns sparked civil … beyond Sub-Saharan Africa since 1980. Effects are sizable relative to the baseline risk of civil war outbreak. My conclusions … commodities on the one hand and minerals, oil, and gas on the other, I find stronger increases in the risk of civil war outbreak …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924357
This paper proposes a simple framework to better understand an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and open civil conflict against the government. Our model implies that terrorism emerges if constraints on the ruling executive group are intermediate and rents are sizeable,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930080
Civil war is often caused by poverty, and further demolishes existing capital. Such a vicious circle is detrimental for … economic development of countries experiencing civil war. Civil war may also contribute to creative destructions of traditional … economic, social and political system, leading to a more rapid post-war growth. Until now little research exists tackling …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013077024
I critically review recent studies that estimate those costs of violence and conflict that can emerge among organized political groupings, from states, religious and ethnic organizations to guerillas and paramilitaries. The review includes studies that estimate direct and indirect costs due to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316344