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The Political Economy of Opposition Groups : Peace, Terrorism, or Civil Conflict

Jetter, Michael - 2018

This paper proposes a simple framework to better understand an opposition group's choice between peace, terrorism, and open civil conflict against the government. Our model implies that terrorism emerges if constraints on the ruling executive group are intermediate and rents are sizeable,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930080

Malaria Risk and Civil Violence

Cervellati, Matteo - 2017

Using high-resolution data from Africa over the period 1998-2012, this paper investigates the hypothesis that a higher exposure to malaria increases the incidence of civil violence. The analysis uses panel data at the 1o grid cell level at monthly frequency. The econometric identification...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956892

The Paradoxes of Revenge in Conflicts

Amegashie, J. Atsu; Runkel, Marco - 2021

We consider a differential game of a conflict between two factions who both have a desire to exact revenge. We show that, in contrast to conventional wisdom, the desire for revenge need not lead to escalation of conflicts. Surprisingly, in the open-loop equilibrium, the weaker faction exerts a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316551

Does Conditionality Work? A Test for an Innovative US Aid Scheme

Öhler, Hannes - 2011

Performance-based aid has been proposed as an alternative to the failed traditional approach whereby donors make aid conditional on the reform promises of recipient countries. However, hardly any empirical evidence exists on whether ex post rewards are effective in inducing reforms. We attempt...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124971

Moral Hazard and the Composition of Transfers : Theory With an Application to Foreign Aid

Amegashie, J. Atsu; Ouattara, Bazoumana; Strobl, Eric - 2021

The paper presents a theoretical and empirical analysis of a donor's choice of the composition of unrestricted and in-kind/restricted transfers to a recipient and how this composition is adjusted in response to changes in the moral hazard behavior of the recipient. In-kind or restricted...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317036

Opium for the Masses? Conflict-Induced Narcotics Production in Afghanistan

Lind, Jo Thori - 2013

We show that the recent rise in Afghan opium production is caused by violent conflicts. Violence destroys roads and irrigation, crucial to alternative crops, and weakens local incentives to rebuild infrastructure and enforce law and order. Exploiting a unique data set, we show that Western...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753183

Fueling Conflict? (De)Escalation and Bilateral Aid

Bluhm, Richard - 2016

This paper studies the effects of bilateral foreign aid on conflict escalation and de-escalation. We make three major contributions. First, we combine data on civil wars with data on low level conflicts in a new ordinal measure capturing the two-sided and multifaceted nature of conflict. Second,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979126

Improving Global Public Goods Supply through Conditional Transfers - The International Adaptation Transfer Riddle

Pittel, Karen - 2013

In order to overcome the underprovision of global public goods various different policy approaches have been proposed. In the climate policy arena, international transfers are frequently seen as an effective means to raise the provision of the global public good ‘climate change mitigation'....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086603

World Price Shocks, Income, and Democratization

Zissimos, Ben - 2021

This paper shows how a world price shock can increase the likelihood that democratization must be used to resolve the … threat of revolution. Initially, a ruling elite may be able to use trade policy to maintain political stability. But a world … resolve. Because the world price shock may also reduce average incomes, the model provides a way to understand why the level …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315548

IMF Surveillance and Financial Markets - A Political Economy Analysis

Fratzscher, Marcel - 2014

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is in the process of re-inventing itself with bilateral and multilateral surveillance emerging as a key function. The paper analyses how IMF surveillance announcements may be influenced by political power that member countries exert at the IMF. First, we...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069721