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This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals' expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083266
This paper analyses the long-memory properties of a high-frequency financial time series dataset. It focuses on temporal aggregation and other features of the data, and how they might affect the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082343
This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio inflows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly … probability Markov-switching model. We find that net equity (bond) inflows drive the exchange rate to a high (low) volatility … state. In particular, net bond inflows increase the probability of remaining in the low volatility state in the case of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009868
The paper investigates the impact of exchange rate volatility on growth in Emerging Europe and East Asia. Exchange … panel estimations provide evidence for a negative impact of exchange rate volatility on growth both in Emerging Europe and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317017
and bond flows, as well as the dynamic linkages between exchange rate volatility and the variability of these two types of … is negative in all countries except Canada (where it is positive) in the case of bond flows. Under the assumption of risk … activities to maximise returns and minimize exposure to uncertainty. Furthermore, since exchange rate volatility and the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081704
has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950299
making and risk management. Over the past three decades there has been a trend towards increased asset return correlations … return correlations using weekly returns on futures markets and investigate the extent to which multivariate volatility … models proposed in the literature can be used to formally characterize and quantify market risk. In particular, we ask how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094817
heterogeneity. The risk premium influences heterogeneity as well, but possible impacts from macroeconomic variables and exchange … rate's volatility are dominated by the other determinants …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316426
puzzles of exchange rates: excessive volatility, fat tails, volatility clustering, and disconnection from the fundamentals. In … addition, the target zone regime replicates a reduced nominal volatility for the same level of fundamental volatility as in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316875
We reassess the quot;scarringquot; hypothesis by Clark et al. (2001), which states that unemployment experienced in the past reduces a person's current life satisfaction even after the person has become reemployed. Our results suggest that the scar from past unemployment operates via worsened...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768534