Showing 1 - 10 of 1,707
In this paper, we explore the degree of anchoring of consumers' individual long-run inflation expectations utilizing …-run inflation expectations became more anchored over the last decades, as the degree of co-movement between short- and long … seems that older cohorts, who experienced the high inflation period of the 1970s, remain less anchored in their long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915565
Do survey data on inflation expectations contain useful information for estimating macroeconomic models? I address this … restriction and helps to determine the forecasting model for inflation that agents use under learning. My results reveal that the … inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120910
order to facilitate private sector learning and thus ease the future intratemporal inflation-output gap trade-offs. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094668
model includes exogenous variables, or if the policy intervention changes the steady states, such as the inflation target …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050473
This paper studies a new aspect of firms' expectation formation by asking whether expectations primarily reflect aggregate, industry-wide information (e.g., industry trends) or disaggregate information (e.g., firm-specific information). First, we show that disaggregate information is strongly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929261
We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that … inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two … international shock that drives national inflation uncertainty and which is closely related to oil and commodity price uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082970
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095747
We revisit the classical result that financing a pure public good through taxation of private consumption is inefficient. To this standard setup we add a consumption contest in which consumers can win a prize. We show that an appropriately chosen contest — which we call a ‘tax lottery' —...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082023
The present paper studies the growth and efficiency consequences of pension funding with individual retirement accounts in a general equilibrium overlapping generations model with idiosyncratic lifespan and labor income uncertainty. We distinguish between economies with rational and hyperbolic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157654
We analyse the determination of taxes on harmful goods when consumers have self-control problems. We show that under reasonable assumptions, the socially optimal corrective tax exceeds the average distortion caused by self-control problems. Further, we analyse how individuals with self-control...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159702