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We compare the economic consequences of several types of oil shocks across a set of industrialized countries that are structurally very diverse with respect to the role of oil and other forms of energy in their economy. We find considerably different effects across countries, which crucially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068762
In this paper we analyse the short- and long-run relationship between employment growth, inflation and output growth in … growth, inflation and output growth with bidirectional causality between employment growth and inflation as well as output …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092691
conclusions that arise from the model. In the new model, the level and the variability of inflation is higher than in the Calvo … model with no selection effect. Attempting to lower inflation's variability results in a significant increase output …'s variability, without changing inflation's variability much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000448
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
In recent years there has been increasing concern about the identification of parameters in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified. For the researcher using Bayesian methods, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126000
Keynesian model we show that, if households have hyperbolic discounting, small positive rates of inflation can be optimal. In … our baseline calibration, the optimal rate of inflation is 2.1% and remains positive across a wide range of calibrations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092871
In this paper we study the link between elections, fiscal policy and aggregate fluctuations. The set-up is a stylized dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model incorporating both technology and political re-election shocks. The later are incorporated via a two-party model with elections. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784084
indexation to past inflation to vary according to the monetary policy regime. We find that the extent of wage indexation is … significantly lower in an inflation targeting regime, in contrast to monetary targeting, exchange rate targeting and policy regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040001
variables (typically the output gap) and solving the model for inflation in terms of the observables. In practice, the equation … not be appropriate. Thirdly, there are arguments that other variables, e.g.interest rates, foreign inflation and foreign … theoretically consistent measure of the steady state and provides a natural route for foreign inflation or output gap to enter the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316577
constant inflation. This change has been more pronounced than elsewhere. We argue that this stems from the immigration boom in … 1995 would have led to an annual increase in inflation of 2.5 percentage points if it had not been largely offset by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316646