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IMF Surveillance and Financial Markets - A Political Economy Analysis
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2014
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is in the process of re-inventing itself with bilateral and multilateral surveillance emerging as a key function. The paper analyses how IMF surveillance announcements may be influenced by political power that member countries exert at the IMF. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069721
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International Financial Integration and Real Exchange Rate Long-Run Dynamics in Emerging Countries : Some Panel Evidence
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2009
The aim of this paper is to provide new empirical evidence on the impact of international financial integration on the long-run Real Exchange Rate (RER) in 39 developing countries belonging to three different geographical regions (Latin America, Asia and MENA). It covers the period 1979-2004,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155428
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Self-Fulfilling Crises in the Eurozone : An Empirical Test
De Grauwe, Paul - 2013
We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self-fulfilling liquidity crises than in stand-alone countries. We find evidence that a significant part of the surge in the spreads of the PIGS countries in the Eurozone during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090949
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Global and Regional Spillovers in Emerging Stock Markets : A Multivariate Garch-in-Mean Analysis
Beirne, John - 2013
This paper examines global (mature market) and regional (emerging market) spillovers in local emerging stock markets. Tri-variate VAR GARCH(1,1)-in-mean models are estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs) in Asia, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East. The models capture a range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095613
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Asymmetry in Volatility : A Comparison of Developed and Transition Stock Markets
Wdowinski, Piotr; Malecka, Marta - 2021
ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to econometric model building in the field of financial time series with time-varying variance. The main idea of the models was to describe the most typical features of capital markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234
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Robust Bond Risk Premia
Bauer, Michael - 2015
A consensus has recently emerged that a number of variables in addition to the level, slope, and curvature of the term structure can help predict interest rates and excess bond returns. We demonstrate that the statistical tests that have been used to support this conclusion are subject to very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013012562
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Commodity Windfalls, Polarization, and Net Foreign Assets : Panel Data Evidence on the Voracity Effect
Arezki, Rabah - 2013
panel of 145 countries during the period 1970-2007. The main finding is that windfalls from international commodity price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092044
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Employment Growth, Inflation and Output Growth : Was Phillips Right? Evidence from a Dynamic Panel
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013
dynamic panel including annual data for 119 countries over the period 1970-2010, and also carry out multivariate Granger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092691
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Stock Markets, Banks and Long Run Economic Growth : A Panel Cointegration-Based Analysis
Cavenaile, Laurent - 2013
and economic growth. We make use of a Johansen-based panel cointegration methodology allowing for cross-country dependence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071385
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A Panel Data Investigation of Real Exchange Rate Misalignment and Growth
MacDonald, Ronald - 2010
using time series data from 1980 to 2004. We first estimate a panel data model (using fixed and random effects) for the real … of real exchange rate misalignment using panel cointegration methods. The variables used in our real exchange rate models …-step System GMM panel growth models indicate that the coefficients for real exchange rate misalignment are positive for different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142797