Showing 1 - 10 of 1,010
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
inflation targeter early in this period but began to pay less attention to inflation after 2009. Loss of the strong nominal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011437
independence and inflation. Making use of data on the evolution of central bank independence over time and controlling for possible … country’s inflation performance. Examining a cross-section of up to 69 countries, we are able to show that granting a central … bank more autonomy does not necessarily lead to better inflation performance. To lower inflation by increasing independence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316036
Central bank independence and transparency have become best practice in monetary policy. This paper cautions that transparency about economic information may not be beneficial in the absence of central bank independence. The reason is that it reduces monetary uncertainty, which could make the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317033
The paper examines the optimal combination of central bank independence and conservatism in the presence of uncertain central bank preferences. We develop a model of endogenous monetary policy delegation in which government chooses the central bank's degree of inde-pendence and conservatism so...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093869
This paper sets up a general oligopolistic equilibrium model with unionized labor markets. By accounting for productivity differences, the model features profit and wage differentials across industries. We use this setting to study the impact of trade liberalization on employment, welfare, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149008
restrictions which are not rejected by the data - the cost channel helps to generate an initial rise of inflation after a monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753889
The paper reexamines Lipset's theory of democratization, by distinguishing the role of (economic) development from that of education, inequality, and (natural) resources. We highlight two contrasting effects of education and human capital accumulation. On the one side, education prompts economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963389
inequality on economic freedom is robust to different sets of controls and estimation techniques. Finally, we show that the … democracy, where a powerful economic elite cooperates with politicians and bureaucrats for their mutual benefit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999751
While scholars and pundits alike have expressed concern regarding increasing social polarization based on partisan identity, there has been little analysis of how social polarization impacts voting. In this paper, we incorporate social identity into a principal-agent model of political...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915567