accuracy for euro area real GDP growth and HICP inflation. We consider BVAR averaging, Bayesian factor augmented VARs (BFAVARs … optimally does not improve forecast accuracy; (e) all variants except the large BVAR tend to be well calibrated for inflation …

While the financial protection measures enacted by the ECB and the community of Eurozone members have calmed financial … markets, they have left the competitiveness problem of the Eurozone's southern countries and France unresolved. The paper … compares price inflation before the crisis with the necessary and actual price cuts that have taken place since the outbreak of …

interaction of the two elements leads to an inflation bias that is independent of the standard time-inconsistency bias. Secondly … correlated with unemployment, but not with inflation in the respective countries …

In this paper we propose an alternative explanation for the nature, sources and consequences of inflation rate … catching-up and inflation differentials and offer an interpretation of the nature of this interaction. Our discussion is in … inflation rates between Member States do not necessarily have to be an equilibrium phenomenon, even if the original shock comes …

This paper presents a stress indicator for the eurozone that summarizes developments of trends and cycles in real GDP … and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short … that stress in the eurozone is mainly due to different trend growth rates and that for most of the Euro-zone countries …

This study analyses the impact of economic catching-up on annual inflation rates in the European Union with a special … Balassa-Samuelson effect is not an important driver of inflation rates. By contrast, we find that the initial price level and … regulated prices strongly affect inflation outcomes in a nonlinear manner and that the extension of Engel's Law may hold during …

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …