Showing 1 - 10 of 1,826
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is … Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is derived, and the limiting behavior of the aggregation error is investigated … which ‘observed' inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038262
Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic …, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a framework for nonlinear contemporaneous aggregation with possibly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013144208
This note develops a flexible methodology for splicing economic time series that avoids the extreme assumptions implicit in the procedures most commonly used in the literature. It allows the user to split the required correction to the older of the series being linked between its levels and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149372
Although there is much interest in the future retail price of gasoline among consumers, industry analysts, and policymakers, it is widely believed that changes in the price of gasoline are essentially unforecastable given publicly available information. We explore several new forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996647
this paper, we investigate the sensitivity of standard gravity estimation to spatial aggregation. We build a model in which … on border effects in domestic and international trade. Our theory shows that larger countries are systematically … associated with smaller border effects. The reason is that due to spatial frictions, aggregation across space increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991938
desirable policies and aim at manipulating information aggregation by misrepresenting their private information. We show that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994342
effects, cross-section dependence, and aggregation. Given data on N + 1 countries, i, j = 0, 1, 2, ..., N, the standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754327
In this paper we perform an empirical analysis to investigate the impact of socio-economic heterogeneity on electoral turnout. We exploit a unique dataset on local elections in an Italian municipality, which merges information on socio-economic characteristics of about 370,000 individuals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045917
This paper proposes a new method of forecasting euro area quarterly real GDP that uses area-wide indicators, which are derived by optimally pooling the information contained in national indicator series. Following the ideas of predictive modeling, we construct the area-wide indicators by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181446
This paper considers the problem of aggregation in the case of large linear dynamic panels, where each micro unit is … Pesaran (2003), an optimal aggregate function is derived, and the limiting behavior of the aggregation error is investigated … which ‘observed’ inflation persistence at the aggregate level is due to aggregation and/or common unobserved factors. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008853858