Showing 1 - 10 of 653
How have house prices evolved over the long-run? This paper presents annual house prices for 14 advanced economies since 1870. Based on extensive data collection, we show that real house prices stayed constant from the 19th to the mid-20th century, but rose strongly during the second half of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315572
data properties. In particular, it is shown that changes in the volatility of the shocks can be used for identification …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754187
Engel and Rogers (1996) find that crossing the US-Canada border can considerably raise relative price volatility and … that exchange rate fluctuations explain about one-third of the volatility increase. In re-evaluating the border effect …, this study shows that cross-country heterogeneity in price volatility can lead to significant bias in measuring the border …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754392
estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or …This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910613
Our paper examines the effect of oil price changes on Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets using nonlinear smooth transition regression (STR) models. Contrary to conventional wisdom, our empirical results reveal that GCC stock markets do not have similar sensitivities to oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914946
Pakistan, Thailand, and the Philippines, whilst they increase the probability of staying in the high volatility state in the …This paper investigates the effects of equity and bond portfolio inflows on exchange rate volatility, using monthly … bilateral data for the US vis-a-vis eight Asian developing and emerging countries (India, Indonesia, South Korea, Pakistan, Hong …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009868
We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958874
A growing literature uses changes in residual volatility for identifying structural shocks in vector autoregressive … in applications in this context. This study reviews the different volatility models and points out their advantages and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023197
This paper suggests how to quantify asymmetries in volatility spillovers that emerge due to bad and good volatility … stocks at the disaggregate level. Moreover, the spillovers of bad and good volatility are transmitted at different magnitudes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023200