Showing 1 - 10 of 377
We extend previous work on the sustainability of the government’s intertemporal budget constraint by allowing for non-linear adjustment of the fiscal variables, conditional on (i) the sign of budgetary disequilibria and (ii) the phase of the economic cycle. Further, our endogenously estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010593130
Historical data for over hundred years and 14 countries is used to estimate the long-run effect of productivity on the real exchange rate. We find large variations in the productivity effect across four distinct monetary regimes in the sample period. Although the traditional Balassa-Samuelson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877817
The real exchange rate - real interest rate (RERI) relationship is central to most open economy macroeconomic models. However, empirical support for the relationship, especially when cointegrationbased methods are used, is rather weak. In this paper we reinvestigate the RERI relationship using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765984
This paper explores theoretically and empirically the long run relation of the terms of trade (ratio of domestic and foreign prices of traded manufacturing goods) and economic growth of a pair of industrialized countries, one of which experiences a major catch-up process towards the other. It is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405944
This paper examines the degree of persistence of youth unemployment (total, male and female) in twenty-four countries …-memory processes respectively. The evidence suggests that persistence is particularly high in Japan and some EU countries such as Spain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583640
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high quantiles of return distributions. We investigate the relative performance of VaR and ES models using daily returns for sixteen stock market indices (eight from developed and eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155427
This paper examines the degree of persistence in UK inflation by applying long-memory methods to historical data that … detect any shifts in the degree of persistence, and also run rolling-window and recursive regressions to investigate its … evolution over time. On the whole, the evidence suggests that the degree of persistence of UK inflation has been relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917992
An inherent problem with comparing and ranking competing Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected shortfall (ES) models is that they measure only a single realization of the underlying data generation process. The question is whether there is any significant statistical difference in the performance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315846
An inherent problem with comparing and ranking competing Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected shortfall (ES) models is that they measure only a single realization of the underlying data generation process. The question is whether there is any significant statistical difference in the performance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010586077
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high quantiles of return distributions. We investigate the relative performance of VaR and ES models using daily returns for sixteen stock market indices (eight from developed and eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008572519