Showing 1 - 10 of 238
This paper characterizes the dynamic empirical properties of country export capabilities in order to inform modelling of the long-run behavior of comparative advantage. The starting point for our analysis is two strong empirical regularities in international trade that have previously been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009768
In this paper, we propose a framework to evaluate the information content of subjective expert density forecasts using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009386355
Quantitative results from a large class of international trade models depend critically on the elasticity of trade with respect to trade frictions. We develop a simulated method of moments estimator to estimate this elasticity from disaggregate price and trade-flow data using the Ricardian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129252
Using annual bilateral data over the period 1988-2011 for a panel of 24 industrialised and emerging economies, we analyse in a time-varying framework the determinants of output synchronisation in EMU (European Monetary Union) distinguishing between core and peripheral member states. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083873
To what extent has trade liberalization contributed to global production fragmentation and the formation of production networks? We derive structural equations for value added trade flows, the domestic value added content of exports (DVA) and the value added exports to exports (VAX) ratio, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902861
Previous empirical research has assumed that goods trade responds to goods trade preferentialism only, while other forms of preferentialism – such as services trade or investment preferentialism – are irrelevant for goods trade. This paper provides novel evidence for the gains from a broader...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082621
When Vietnam entered WTO in 2007 it was granted an accession period up to 2014. During this period tariffs would have to fall according to the accession agreement. This paper evaluates this 2007-2014 trade liberalization by building an applied general equilibrium model and calibrating it to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118678
We develop a new general equilibrium monopolistic competition model with variable demand elasticity, heterogeneous firms, and multiple asymmetric regions. Wages, productivity, consumption diversity, and markups across firms and markets are all endogenously determined and respond to trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097109
pseudo out-of-sample forecasts of trade flows for recent euro joiners. In line with our estimation results, we show that … pseudo forecasts of the change in trade flows after euro accession, assuming no euro effect, outperform forecasts based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962673
This paper assesses whether the sensitivity of bilateral trade volumes to various trade cost factors is constant or varies across countries. It utilizes a random coefficients model and analyses a cross-sectional sample of bilateral trade data for 96 countries in 2005. We expect the elasticity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051275