Showing 1 - 10 of 364
From 1963 through 2015, idiosyncratic risk (IR) is high when market risk (MR) is high. We show that the positive … has roots in fundamentals. Higher market risk predicts greater idiosyncratic earnings volatility as well as dispersion and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950299
the HML factor. The component of the risk premia explained by consumption varies across size. We suggest that a possible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010639427
boom yields consistently positive excess returns. This excess return compensates for the risk of high negative returns in … countries on risk aversion, and low (high) risk aversion currencies depreciate (appreciate) in times of global turmoil. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010667417
during the period of the financial crisis. In a Value-at-Risk (VaR) analysis, finally, we further illustrate the advantages … confidence levels while other models fail to specify the risk correctly. This analysis shows that ignoring the actual nature of … dependence might lead to an underestimation of the risk for portfolios combining EUAs with commodities or equity investments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093522
In a standard financial market model with asymmetric information with a finite number N of risk-averse informed traders … particularly good when the informationally adjusted risk bearing capacity of traders is not very large. This is not the case if … informed traders are close to risk neutral. Both equilibria converge to the competitive equilibrium of an idealized limit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405996
This interdisciplinary paper explains how mathematical techniques of stochastic optimal control can be applied to the recent subprime mortgage crisis. Why did the financial markets fail to anticipate the recent debt crisis, despite the large literature in mathematical finance concerning optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005094473
A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price … stochastic optimal control (SOC)/dynamic risk management is a much more effective approach to determine the optimal degree of … leverage, the optimum and excessive risk and the probability of a debt crisis. The theoretically founded early warning signals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534053
We consider a two-period market with persistent liquidity trading and risk averse privately informed investors who have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008872222
We investigate the dynamics of prices, information and expectations in a competitive, noisy, dynamic asset pricing equilibrium model with long-term investors. We argue that the fact that prices can score worse or better than consensus opinion in predicting the fundamentals is a product of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583648
This paper answers fundamental questions that have preoccupied modern economic thought since the 18th century. What is the aggregate real rate of return in the economy? Is it higher than the growth rate of the economy and, if so, by how much? Is there a tendency for returns to fall in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921279