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policy regime change associated with the start of EMU in 1999. The main findings are as follows. Steady-state inflation and … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly …This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013037
This paper investigates the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in twelve EMU countries. A time …-varying GARCH model is estimated to distinguish between short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty. The effects of the …-state inflation has generally remained stable, steady-state inflation uncertainty and inflation persistence have both increased, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406171
economic performance under inflation targets, and arguments that the flexible exchange rate has undermined real economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406116
—with excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405730
linked to the monetary policy regime. Before and after the "Great Inflation", nominal wages moved in the same direction as … the (required) adjustment of real wages, and in the opposite direction of the price response. During the "Great Inflation … increasing inflation volatility. Using a standard DSGE model, we show that these stylized facts, in particular the estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131601
, although their overall effect on inflation differentials and competitiveness seems to be small. An additional focus of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765672
and inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765866
This paper investigates the relationship between real exchange rate changes and the German, French and UK automobile and mechanical engineering sector. In stylized models, exports decline whenever the domestic currency appreciates and vice versa. Strategic firm behavior, however, can obscure the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010660136
We estimate a panel VAR model for the euro area to quantitatively asses the contribution of the TARGET2 system to the propagation of different types of structural economic shocks as well as to the historical evolution of aggregate economic activity in euro area member countries. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012922834
In the winter 2011/12 a wave of internal capital flight prompted the ECB to abandon its exit strategy and to announce an unprecedented monetary expansion. We analyze this episode in several dimensions: (i) by providing an event-study analysis covering key variables from national central banks'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929540