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The pending enlargement of the European Monetary Union (EMU) has brought to the fore the discussion of the voting right distribution in the European Central Bank (ECB) council. We show that, in a model where labor unions internalize the inflationary consequences of wage setting, deviating from a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766246
We examine the impact of the ECB's QE on Euro Area real GDP and core CPI with a Bayesian VAR, estimated on monthly data from 2012M6 to 2016M4. We assess the total impact via a counter-factual exercise, country-by-country and through alternative transmission channels. QE announcement shocks are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986934
This paper focuses on the relation between external imbalances and domestic money and credit growth in the euro area. We compute money and credit overhang both for the euro area as a whole and for individual member countries. Our results show that both aggregate money and credit overhang have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072508
In this paper we propose an alternative explanation for the nature, sources and consequences of inflation rate … catching-up and inflation differentials and offer an interpretation of the nature of this interaction. Our discussion is in … inflation rates between Member States do not necessarily have to be an equilibrium phenomenon, even if the original shock comes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754168
portfolios, observed in the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS) for these countries. We then show that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898763
2003Q1 - 2017Q3 and includes, in addition to the standard variables for real GDP growth, inflation, and the monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912666
In this paper, we estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive (Logit-MVAR) model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 1999-2015. MVARs allow us to differentiate between different states of the economy. In our model, the time-varying state weights are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914916
, in addition to the standard variables for real GDP growth, inflation, and the monetary policy stance, indicators of bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917006
We use an original monthly dataset of 131 individual euro area banks to examine the effectiveness and transmission mechanism of the Eurosystem's credit support policies since the start of the crisis. First, we show that these policies have indeed been succesful in stimulating the credit flow of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955416
We estimate the effects of exogenous innovations to the balance sheet of the ECB since the start of the financial crisis within a structural VAR framework. An expansionary balance sheet shock stimulates bank lending, stabilizes financial markets, and has a positive impact on economic activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048831