Showing 1 - 10 of 181
both the 2007 and 2010 Federal elections, we are struck by the paucity of falsifiable predictions, with most pundits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877920
Politicians seeking reelection need voters to know what they have done for them. Thus, incentives may arise to spend more money where media coverage is higher. We present a simple model to explain the allocation of public spending across jurisdictions contingent on media activity. An incumbent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181563
necessarily preferable. These predictions are largely confirmed using a dataset on Italian municipal elections and taxes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010877811
This paper provides a simple model to explain effect of political alignment between different tiers of government on policy choices and election outcomes. We derive precise predictions that, as long as voters attribute most of the credit for providing public goods to the local government: (i)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603855
stronger before elections, and the probability that the aligned local incumbent is re-elected is higher. These predictions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011167132
This paper reconsiders the division of the literature on electoral competition into models with forward-looking voters and those with backward-looking voters by combining ideas from both strands of the literature. As long as there is no uncertainty about voters’ policy preferences and parties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010539147
We show that essentially every communication equilibrium of any finite Bayesian game with two players can be implemented as a strategic form correlated equilibrium of an extended game, in which before choosing actions as in the Bayesian game, the players engage in a possibly infinitely long (but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128960
The difficulty of optimal decision making in uncertain dichotomous choice settings is that it requires information on the expertise of the decision makers (voters). This paper presents a method of optimally weighting voters even without testing them against questions with known right answers....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130422
This paper studies the assignment of decision makers to two committees that make decisions by a simple majority rule. There is an even number of decision makers at each of various skill levels and each committee has an odd number of members. Surprisingly, even with the symmetric assumptions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122583
I construct a theory of foreign interventions in which the preferences of the foreign country over alternative local groups are determined by each group's international economic ties. In equilibrium, the foreign country supports the group with which it has the strongest ties, since this is most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013124181