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In this paper we propose an alternative explanation for the nature, sources and consequences of inflation rate differentials in a monetary union, such as EMU. To achieve this, we build on the new neoclassical synthesis (NNS) framework, recently advanced by Goodfriend (2002) and Goodfriend and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754168
This study examines the nature of the linkages between stock market prices and exchange rates in six advanced economies, namely the US, the UK, Canada, Japan, the euro area, and Switzerland, using data on the banking crisis between 2007 and 2010. Bivariate GARCH-BEKK models are estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083258
The ‘saving for a rainy day’ hypothesis implies that households’ saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011278934
, we study the causality between government spending and revenue for the EU in the period 1960-2006. We find spend … Finland and the UK, and for several EU New Member States. Moreover, in the run-up to EMU there was some shifting away from a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158140
the US, the Eurozone, Australia, Canada, Japan and the UK using fractional integration and cointegration techniques …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958879
fractional integration and fractional cointegration techniques. These methods are more general and have higher power than the … both the S&P 500 Index and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index. Also, fractional cointegration appears to hold at least for the … diverging growth and monetary policy. Establishing whether the degree of cointegration has changed over time is important since …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013497
We examine whether the Chinese exchange rate is misaligned and how Chinese trade flows respond to the exchange rate and to economic activity. We find, first, that the Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), is substantially below the value predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753166
Credit to the private sector has risen rapidly in many Central and Eastern European EU Member States (MS) and acceding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754091
This paper implements recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and Seemingly Unrelated regression (SUR) methods … October 2008, and from January 1996 to December 2007, our investigation shows that there is evidence for cointegration of oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316349
This paper extends the standard human capital model with real options. Real options influence investment behavior when risky investments in human capital are irreversible and individuals can affect the timing of the investment. Option values make individuals more reluctant to invest in human...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776903