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This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021694
the world. We also find that the Iranian economy adjusts quite quickly to the shocks in foreign output and oil exports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154686
We study the short and long run responses of income inequality to positive per capita oil and gas rent shocks in Iran. Using historical data from 1973 to 2012 and vector autoregression (VAR)-based impulse response functions, we find a positive and statistically significant response of income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315433
be much larger than the impact of a shift in the global crude oil price expressed in US dollar. Furthermore, the effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086048
industry analysts had anticipated. This tight oil boom reduced the dependence of the United States on petroleum imports and … allowed it to become a major exporter of gasoline and diesel fuel. Since mid-2014 the global real price of crude oil has … extent was the recent oil price decline caused by the tight oil boom? Second, how did the tight oil boom affect the price of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960095
, conventional linear models of price dynamics such as the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) can lead to erroneous inferences … about cointegration relationships, price adjustments and relative values. We propose the use of regime-switching models to … address these issues. Our regime switching model uses price data to infer whether pricing is oil-driven (integrated) or gas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026625
We use the demise of silver-based standards in the 19th century to explore price dynamics when a commodity-based money … silver money. Calibration of the model shows that silver ceased functioning as a global price anchor in the mid-1890s - the … price of silver is positively correlated with agricultural commodities through the mid-1890s, but not thereafter. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955754
pesticides are generally more stringent than under autarky. As a result, trade increases the price volatility of crops produced …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315542
. Biofuels have been blamed universally for recent increases in world food prices. Many studies have shown that these energy … prices. However, biofuels may increase aggregate world carbon emissions, due to leakage from lower oil prices and conversion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315897
It has been argued that a depletable resource owner might optimally increase near-term supply in response to environmental policies promoting the development of alternative resources, which might render climate policy ineffective or even counterproductive. This paper empirically confirms this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024360