and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short …

economic reform, economic growth and, with a delay, on investment and institutional change. Episode of high inflation, moreover …, translate into lower subsequent inflation. Crises thus appear to serve as catalysts of reform and institutional change and lead …

We investigate the international linkages of inflation uncertainty in the G7. In a first step, we document that … inflation uncertainty in the G7 is intertwined. Moreover, the degree of synchronization has increased during the recent two … international shock that drives national inflation uncertainty and which is closely related to oil and commodity price uncertainty …

This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a … structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil … demand and supply shocks. The results show that higher macroeconomic uncertainty, as measured by higher world industrial …

This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the … inflation uncertainty have declined steadily since the inception of EMU, whilst short-run uncertainty has increased, mainly … inflation uncertainty by lowering the inflation rate …

quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to …

conclusions that arise from the model. In the new model, the level and the variability of inflation is higher than in the Calvo … model with no selection effect. Attempting to lower inflation's variability results in a significant increase output …'s variability, without changing inflation's variability much …

inflation and output can easily be explained in the context that agents do not have rational expectation. This important feature … correlated exogenous shocks to account for the high serial correlation in inflation and output while the behavioral model … strong force in producing the serial correlation in inflation and output …