Showing 1 - 10 of 293
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979540
In this paper we present the Ifo Investment Database, which provides annual investment data for 12 investment assets in … allows allocating investments by asset type to each industry, using an investment flow matrix. The database enables … researchers to analyze structural investment behavior on the industry level and to identify changes in the importance of in-vestment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084902
it driven by investment and capital accumulation. By 2014, gross capital formation had reached 46 percent of aggregate … expenditures. This paper documents the role of investment in driving economic growth in China, questions how much longer China can … sustain a relatively high investment rate, and examines the arguments that have been offered for an impending drastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953882
explaining the consumption path after a Marginal Efficiency of Investment shock. We use an otherwise standard medium-scale New …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984510
The ifo Investment Survey asks firms in the German manufacturing sector about the importance of sales, technological … factors, finance, return expectations, and macroeconomic policy for their investment activity in a given year. We show that … these subjective investment determinants 1) capture economically what their labels suggest, and 2) have strong explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315790
In a neoclassical economy with endogenous capital- and labor-augmenting technical change the steady-state growth rate of output per worker is shown to increase in the elasticity of substitution between capital and labor. This confirms the assessment of Klump and de La Grandville (2000) that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316247
When investment is irreversible, theory suggests that firms will be “reluctant to invest.” This reluctance creates a … wedge between the discount rate guiding investment decisions and the standard Jorgensonian user cost (adjusted for risk). We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766040
Is real investment fully determined by fundamentals or is it sometimes affected by stock market misvaluation? We … introduce three new tests that: measure the reaction of investment to sales shocks for firms that may be overvalued; use Fama … misvaluation into standard investment equations to estimate the quantitative effect of misvaluation on investment. Overall, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766115
Investment in network infrastructure can boost long-term economic growth in OECD countries. Moreover, infrastructure … investment can have a positive effect on growth that goes beyond the effect of the capital stock because of economies of scale … between infrastructure and economic growth. Time-series results reveal a positive impact of infrastructure investment on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005013038
firms in making their investment decisions.We use a revealed preference approach that relies on the pattern of investment … spending – combined with investment theory – to estimate the discount rates used by managers. The standard story predicts that … firms with high stock prices and good investment opportunities should have discount rates that do not differ systematically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009150640