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Greece has reached a point where, under any plausible macroeconomic scenario, public debt will continue growing faster … solvency and closing the competitiveness gap. Yet we think Greece stands a better chance of accomplishing these goals from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117780
crisis in Greece. 61.9% of the experts surveyed were not in favour of Greece exiting the Eurozone in the course of the … Republic, Denmark, and Slovakia were in favour of Greece exiting the Eurozone. The share of experts who were in favour of … Greece staying in the Eurozone increased to 69.8% in October 2015. 72.4% of experts surveyed believed that the IMF should …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992606
parametric estimates may have seriously underestimated the growth effects of democracy. In particular, we find an average … negative effect on growth of leaving democracy on the order of −2 percentage points implying effects on income per capita as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181259
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign debt model … augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the … level desired by a country and supported by its repayment capacity. We find that austerity serves as a tool for securing a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030311
We describe the evolution of the power struggle in Greece among key economic and political stakeholders, who have tried …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078912
distribution) when inequality is high. We argue that the latter finding corresponds to a system of political capitalism or captured … democracy, where a powerful economic elite cooperates with politicians and bureaucrats for their mutual benefit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999751
Did austerity cause Brexit? This paper shows that the rise of popular support for the UK Independence Party (UKIP), as … to austerity since 2010. In addition to exploiting data from the population of all electoral contests in the UK since … have resulted in a Remain victory had it not been for a range of austerity-induced welfare reforms. Further, auxiliary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910997
programme (2012-14) achieved progress towards recovery but this was fragile and was cancelled out by Greece's stand-off with her … lenders in the first half of 2015. The stand-off was one that predictably Greece could not win, due to the lack of a credible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010491
We use insights from the literature on currency crises to offer an analytical treatment of the crisis in the market for Greek government bonds. We argue that the crisis itself and its escalating nature are very likely to be the result of: (a) steady deterioration of Greek macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135455
We assess the sustainability of the public finances of Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain (GIIPS), allowing for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067329