Showing 1 - 10 of 1,732
type of shock. Expansionary securitization shocks lead to a permanent rise in real GDP and a fall in inflation. Bank …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055428
Using a two-sector estimated DSGE model with a financial channel we show the sector where TFP news arrives matters for its propagation and quantitative importance. Anticipated increases in TFP expected to arrive in the consumption sector are expansionary while those in the investment sector are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315761
This paper contributes to the on-going empirical debate regarding the role of the RBC model and in particular of technology shocks in explaining aggregate fluctuations. To this end we estimate the model's posterior density using Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) methods. Within this framework we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013160381
The ifo Investment Survey asks firms in the German manufacturing sector about the importance of sales, technological factors, finance, return expectations, and macroeconomic policy for their investment activity in a given year. We show that these subjective investment determinants 1) capture...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315790
-specific foreign output variable to capture direct inter-country linkages. In accord with the theory all variables are measured as … restrictions implied by the NK theory. The multi-country DSGE NK model is then solved to provide estimates of identified supply … through error spillover effects. Bootstrapped error bands are also provided for the cross country responses of a shock to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094653
This paper takes a fresh look at the nature of financial and real business cycles in OECD countries using annual data series and shorter quarterly and monthly economic indicators. It first analyses the main characteristics of the cycle, including the length, amplitude, asymmetry and changes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105148
financial institutions in the transmission of credit and technology shocks to the real economy. A positive credit shock, defined … between loan and deposit rates. The effects of the credit shock tend to be highly persistent even without price rigidities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119521
This paper evaluates whether macroeconomic uncertainty changes the impact of oil shocks on the oil price. Using a structural threshold VAR model, we endogenously identify different regimes of uncertainty in which we estimate the effects of oil demand and supply shocks. The results show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065379
Concave hiring rules imply that firms respond more to bad shocks than to good shocks. They provide a unified explanation for several seemingly unrelated facts about employment growth in macro and micro data. In particular, they generate countercyclical movement in both aggregate conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956881
that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in … opposite directions while a shock to the net flow from not in the labour force to unemployment drives the rates in the same …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051614