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Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953959
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965931
We document a large return drift around monetary policy announcements by the Federal Open Market Committee. Stock returns start drifting up 25 days before expansionary monetary policy surprises, whereas they decrease before contractionary surprises. The cumulative return difference across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946927
We analyze the impact of price stability-oriented monetary strategies (inflation targeting — IT — and constraining exchange rate arrangements) on inflation persistence using a time-varying coefficients framework in a panel of 68 countries (1993–2013). We show that explicit IT has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962672
The Generalized Calvo and the Generalized Taylor model of price and wage-setting are, unlike the standard Calvo and Taylor counter-parts, exactly consistent with the distribution of durations observed in the data. Using price and wage micro-data from a major euro-area economy (France), we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094533
We study the impact of diverse beliefs on conduct of monetary policy. We use a New Keynesian Model solved with a quadratic approximation. Aggregation renders the belief distribution an aggregate state variable. Diverse expectations change standard results about a smooth trade-off between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024741
We consider optimal monetary policy in a model that integrates credit frictions in the standard New Keynesian model with sticky prices and wages as well as adjustment costs of capital. Different from traditional models with credit frictions such as Carlstrom and Fuerst (1998), the model is able...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012993022
thereby increase surplus liquidity. East Asian central banks with more flexible exchange rate regimes also face surplus … liquidity that mainly emanates from past accumulation of foreign reserves. We show based on an augmented Barro …-Gordon-type central bank loss function that in both cases surplus liquidity limits monetary policy autonomy. In case of fixed exchange …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091528
theories of Hayek, Wicksell and Schumpeter. We argue that ample liquidity supply originating in the large industrialized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316825
to accumulate massive foreign reserves. If left unsterilized, the liquidity expansion can threaten domestic macroeconomic … stability. To contain domestic inflation these central banks absorb rather then provide liquidity in their regular monetary … surplus liquidity is less efficient, because absorbing liquidity raises the costs of monetary policy operations. By …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094452