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Multi-Factor Gegenbauer Processes and European Inflation Rates
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2014
In this paper we specify a multi-factor long-memory process that enables us to estimate the fractional differencing parameters at each frequency separately, and adopt this framework to model quarterly prices in three European countries (France, Italy and the UK). The empirical results suggest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071161
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Liquidity Risk, Credit Risk and the Overnight Interest Rate Spread : A Stochastic Volatility Modelling Approach
Beirne, John - 2013
In this paper we model the volatility of the spread between the overnight interest rate and the central bank policy … 2007. During the crisis, the policy spread exhibited signs of volatility, owing to the breakdown in interbank market … activity. The determinants of this volatility are assessed using Stochastic Volatility models to gauge the role played by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094544
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The Role of the Log Transformation in Forecasting Economic Variables
Luetkepohl, Helmut - 2009
For forecasting and economic analysis many variables are used in logarithms (logs). In time series analysis this transformation is often considered to stabilize the variance of a series. We investigate under which conditions taking logs is beneficial for forecasting. Forecasts based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764276
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Deterministic versus Stochastic Seasonal Fractional Integration and Structural Breaks
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Cunado, Juncal; Gil-Alana, … - 2021
This paper considers a general model which allows for both deterministic and stochastic forms of seasonality, including fractional (stationary and nonstationary) orders of integration, and also incorporating endogenously determined structural breaks. Monte Carlo analysis shows that the suggested...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317060
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Exchange Rate Misalignment Estimates - Sources of Differences
Cheung, Yin-Wong - 2013
We study the differences of currency misalignment estimates obtained from alternative datasets derived from two International Comparison Program (ICP) surveys. A decomposition exercise reveals that the year 2005 misalignment estimates are substantially affected by the ICP price revision....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092474
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Weak and Strong Cross Section Dependence and Estimation of Large Panels
Chudik, Alexander - 2009
an application to the estimation of panel data models with an infinite number of weak factors and a finite number of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158328
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Testing
Bergbauer, Annika - 2018
School systems regularly use student assessments for accountability purposes. But, as highlighted by our conceptual model, different configurations of assessment usage generate performance-conducive incentives of different strengths for different stakeholders in different school environments. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910939
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A Bias-Corrected Method of Moments Approach to Estimation of Dynamic Short-T Panels
Chudik, Alexander - 2017
approach can be applied to estimation of a variety of models such as spatial and dynamic panel data models. In this paper we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943386
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The Estimation of Multi-Dimensional Fixed Effects Panel Data Models
Balazsi, Laszlo - 2015
The paper introduces the appropriate within estimators for the most frequently used three-dimensional fixed effects panel data models. It analyzes the behavior of these estimators in the cases of no self-flow data, unbalanced data, and dynamic autoregressive models. The main results are then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024591
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Estimating Trade Policy Effects with Structural Gravity
Piermartini, Roberta; Yotov, Yoto V. - 2021
The objective of this manuscript is to serve as a practical guide for estimations with the structural gravity model. After a brief review of the theoretical foundations, we summarize the main challenges with gravity estimations and we review the solutions to address those challenges. Then, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315492