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Greece has reached a point where, under any plausible macroeconomic scenario, public debt will continue growing faster than GDP. Fiscal consolidation alone cannot close the solvency gap. A substantial reduction in the stock of debt is needed. Even post-debt restructuring, there is no guarantee...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117780
We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self-fulfilling liquidity crises than in stand-alone countries. We find evidence that a significant part of the surge in the spreads of the PIGS countries in the Eurozone during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090949
This paper presents a global model linking individual country vector error-correcting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific variables as an approximate solution to a global common factor model. This global VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783809
This paper assesses the role of a larger degree of common language use between the populations of two countries on the so-called extensive product margin of trade. We focus on the overlap of products exported or imported between any pair of countries. The results suggest that the effect of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052069
In this paper we suggest that Eurozone countries face a policy trade-off among: 1) a common rule imposing co-movements in fiscal policy; 2) financial stability; and 3) financial integration. We provide empirical evidence documenting the existence of such a trade-off in the period characterized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020581
With the availability of international value added trade data it has become evident that gross export data and value added data do not provide the same information. Although gross exports crosses national borders and is the target of trade policy, value added data tell us what fragment in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023177
since the Uruguay Round (1986 to 1994). It would create a free trade zone covering 45% of world GDP. However, critics … gains for Germany (3.5%), Europe (3.9%), and the world (1.6%), but that it could also harm third countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044668
yields economically plausible and statistically significant estimates of the declining effect of “national borders” on world …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315671
That climate policies are costly is evident and therefore often creates major fears. But the alternative (no action) also has a cost. Mitigation costs and damages incurred depend on what the climate policies are; moreover, they are substitutes. This brings climate policies naturally in the realm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315810
This paper reviews the most significant recent developments in the theory of trade agreements. The paper offers an integrated approach to evaluating trade agreements, and uses the approach to present results on preferential and multilateral trade agreements. The paper identifies also several...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316371