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This analysis employs cointegration methods and semiparametric regression in order to assess the integration of maize markets and the factors determining national and cross-national transmission of price signals in Sub-Saharan Africa. We use a rich dataset of 16 series of wholesale maize prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038042
This analysis employs cointegration methods and semiparametric regression in order to assess the integration of maize markets and the factors determining national and cross-national transmission of price signals in Sub-Saharan Africa. We use a rich dataset of 16 series of wholesale maize prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008914284
This paper estimates a bivariate VAR-GARCH(1,1) model to examine linkages between food and energy prices. The adopted framework is suitable to analyse both mean and volatility spillovers, and also allows for possible parameter shifts resulting from four recent events, namely: 1) the 2006 food...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024362
transmission of commodity price shocks to commodity-importing and exporting economies, and for commodity price forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930077
unfavorable harvest shocks in other regions of the world significantly curtail domestic economic activity. The effects are much …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915574
This paper examines the demand and supply shocks observed in the present Eurozone member states and those observed in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766277
response to unexpected demographic, financial and macro-economic shocks. Our analysis is based on an applied many … simulations show that pension buffers are highly volatile when the shocks are drawn from realistically modelled multivariate shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008534014
trade shocks and capital flows are analyzed. The choice of the nominal exchange rate regime is found to be a crucial factor … in the way various shocks are transmitted through the monetary sector. A logit model is used on panel data and … preliminary results indicate that countries with flexible regimes were able to lessen the impact of external shocks on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005051560
beneficial when the correlation of the shocks hitting the various economies is low. However, given the potentially adverse … likely to be counterproductive when demand or supply shocks are highly symmetric across countries and the governments are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005181594
This paper discusses the need and scope for an active fiscal stabilization policy. It is argued that the effectiveness of fiscal policy as a short run stabilizer does not depend on the long run multipliers of (balanced budget) fiscal policies. To the extent that activity can be affected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196205