Showing 1 - 10 of 2,037
We document that the recent house price experiences within an individual's social network affect her perceptions of the attractiveness of property investments, and through this channel have large effects on her housing market activity. Our data combine anonymized social network information from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988967
The renewed momentum in the German housing market has led to concerns that Germany is vulnerable to asset price shocks. In this paper, we apply recently developed recursive unit root tests to detect the beginning and the end of potential speculative bubbles in Germany over the sample period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079871
Policies affecting the cost of energy use provide correct incentives for technology choices only if there is a market reward for energy efficiency. We provide clean evidence for market efficiency by considering how heating technologies capitalize into house values using detailed Finnish register...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013045929
We explore empirically how capital inflows into the US and financial deregulation within the United States interacted in driving the run-up (and subsequent decline) in US housing prices over the period 1990-2012. To obtain an ex ante measure of financial liberalization, we focus on the history...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023109
In this paper we use a representative consumer model to analyse the equilibrium relation between the transitory deviations from the common trend among consumption, aggregate wealth, and labour income, cay, and focus on the implications for both stock returns and housing returns. The evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092228
July 2010. The empirical findings indicate that the stochastic properties of the two series are such that cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094212
the no-change forecast. Our key finding is that substantial reductions in the mean-squared prediction error (MSPE) of … greater reductions in MSPEs are possible by constructing a pooled forecast that assigns equal weight to five of the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996647
We have argued that from the standpoint of a policy maker, the uncertainty of using the average forecast is not the … that the uncertainty of the average forecast can be expressed as the disagreement among the forecasters plus the volatility … the conceptually correct benchmark forecast uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017623
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows leads to a lower bias and to a lower root mean square forecast error for all but the smallest of breaks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration … exploiting recent developments in fractional cointegration allows to investigate in greater depth the relationships between …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013126003