Showing 1 - 10 of 794
This paper examines the time-profile of the impact of systemic banking crises on GDP and industrial production using a panel of 24 countries over the inter-war period and compares this to the post-war experience of these countries. We show that banking crises have effects that induce medium-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011210401
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments’ popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010888458
This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010948836
We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087720
We investigate the relationship between unemployment and growth in China. We find considerable differences in the … find a hump-shaped relationship between unemployment and our proxy for the speed of reform. The current unemployment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075132
In a multi-country general equilibrium economy with mobile capital and rigid-wage unemployment, countries may differ in … conditions under which - in contrast to free trade with undistorted labor markets - welfare declines and unemployment increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150802
high-wage country with an imperfectly competitive labour market so that outsourcing reduces equilibrium unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777827
It has been noted that the search and matching model cannot account for the observed unemployment fluctuations. Gertler …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951773
interact and affect the evolution of unemployment rates and participation rates, the two main indicators of labour market … performance. Our analysis has two special features. First, apart from the two labour market states – employment and unemployment … that a shock to the net flow from unemployment to employment drive the unemployment rate and the participation rate in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013051614
density function with higher density and thereby generate large, asymmetric job-finding rate and unemployment reactions. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994696