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Stock Markets, Banks and Long Run Economics Growth: A Panel Cointegration-Based Analysis
Cavenaile, Laurent; Gengenbach, Christian; Palm, Franz - CESifo - 2013
The aim of this paper is to investigate the long run relationship between the development of banks and stock markets … the direction of potential causality between financial and economic development. Our results conclude to the existence of … a single cointegrating vector between financial development and growth and of causality going from financial development …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723543
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Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Revisited in African Countries
Eggoh, Jude C.; Bangaké, Chrysost; Rault, Christophe - CESifo - 2011
growth for 21 African countries over the period from 1970 to 2006, using recently developed panel cointegration and causality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320785
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Testing Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Using LIBOR
Omer, Muhammad; Haan, Jakob de; Scholtens, Bert - CESifo - 2012
We test Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) using LIBOR interest rates for a wide range of maturities. In contrast to other markets, LIBOR markets have minimal frictions which could lead to rejecting UIP. Using panel unit root test suggested by Palm, Smeekes, and Urbain (2010) and cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010552442
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Short and Long-run Behaviour of Long-term Sovereign Bond Yields
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - CESifo - 2010
This study assesses the short and long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields in OECD countries, for the period 1973-2008. We employ a dynamic panel approach to reflect financial and economic integration, and to increase the performance and accuracy of the tests. Given the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008727299
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Budgetary and External Imbalances Relationship: A Panel Data Diagnostic
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - CESifo - 2009
We assess the cointegration relationship between current account and budget balances, and effective real exchange rates, using recent bootstrap panel cointegration techniques and SUR methods. We investigate the magnitude of the relationship between the two imbalances for each country for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005765818
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Unit Roots and Cointegration in Panels
Breitung, Joerg; Pesaran, M. Hashem - CESifo - 2005
This paper provides a review of the literature on unit roots and cointegration in panels where the time dimension (T) and the cross section dimension (N) are relatively large. It distinguishes between the first generation tests developed on the assumption of the cross section independence, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005766004
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Long-run Determinants of Sovereign Yields
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - CESifo - 2010
We study sovereign bond yields in OECD countries with a dynamic panel by checking for cross-section dependence; assessing panel cointegration; and estimating panel error-correction models. The results show that markets consider budgetary and external imbalances and inflation as relevant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498994
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Black Market and Official Exchange Rates: Long-Run Equilibrium and Short-Run Dynamics
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Cerrato, Mario - CESifo - 2006
This paper presents further empirical evidence on the relationship between black market and official exchange rates in six emerging economies (Iran, India, Indonesia, Korea, Pakistan, and Thailand). First, it applies both time series techniques and heterogeneous panel methods to test for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405731
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3-Step Analysis of Public Finances Sustainability: the Case of the European Union
Afonso, António; Rault, Christophe - CESifo - 2008
We use a 3-step analysis to assess the sustainability of public finances in the EU27. Firstly, we perform the SURADF specific panel unit root test to investigate the mean-reverting behaviour of general government expenditures and revenues ratios. Secondly, we apply the bootstrap panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005406275
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Beyond the Salassa-Samuelson Effect in some New Member States of the European Union
García-Solanes, José; Sancho-Portero, Francisco I.; … - CESifo - 2007
This paper analyses the Balassa and Samuelson hypothesis in two groups of European countries: six New Member States (NMS) and six advanced EU-15 economies. It is found that the second stage of the hypothesis, which relates relative sector prices with the real exchange rate, does not hold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005416475