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This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro–area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest–rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089850
We document a large return drift around monetary policy announcements by the Federal Open Market Committee. Stock returns start drifting up 25 days before expansionary monetary policy surprises, whereas they decrease before contractionary surprises. The cumulative return difference across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946927
We construct a slope factor from changes in federal funds futures of different horizons. Slope predicts stock returns at the weekly frequency: faster monetary policy easing positively predicts excess returns. Investors can achieve increases in weekly Sharpe ratios of 20% conditioning on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965931
theories of Hayek, Wicksell and Schumpeter. We argue that ample liquidity supply originating in the large industrialized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316825
During the 15 years prior to the global financial crisis the volume of securitized assets transacted in the US grew substantially, reflecting a change in the nature of the financial intermediation process. Together with increased securitization of assets, financial entities, who participate more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011167135
Previous macro-finance term structure models (MTSMs) imply that macroeconomic state variables are spanned by (i.e., perfectly correlated with) model-implied bond yields. However, this theoretical implication appears inconsistent with regressions showing that much macroeconomic variation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011155372
Using post-1995 Japanese data we propose a theory-based sign-restriction SVAR approach to identify monetary policy shocks when the economy is at the zero-lower bound. The identifying restrictions accord with predictions of corresponding DSGE models. Our results show that while a quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009147746
affect their ability to cover for any liquidity needs and hence influence the premium banks require to carry the maturity … the central bank after a liquidity shock creates a new channel of policy transmission that leads to a sharp decrease in … responses after a liquidity shock. The short-term rate does not need to decrease as much as when only conventional policies are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010690388
In this paper, we examine the role of global and domestic credit supply shocks in macroeconomic fluctuations for Emerging Markets. For this purpose, we impose a set of zero and sign restrictions within a medium-scale Bayesian Vector Auto-Regressive model. Quarterly data from South Africa and G-7...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010668472
Monetary policy is superneutral in an overlapping generations model. Previous authors have argued that superneutrality does not hold in such a setting. However, the standard results rely on the counter-factual premise of helicopter money and are overturned if money creation through open market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185625