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Climate Change, Rice Crops and Violence. Evidence from Indonesia
Caruso, Raul; Petrarca, Ilaria; Ricciuti, Roberto - CESifo - 2014
This paper adopts an instrumental variable approach to uncover the impact of variations in minimum temperature on emergence and severity of actual violence through the effect on food availability, captured by rice crops per capita. The link between increase in minimum temperature and rice crops...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010747225
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Economic Growth in Africa: Comparing Recent Improvements with the "lost 1980s and early 1990s" and Estimating New Growth Trends
Leibfritz, Willi; Flaig, Gebhard - CESifo - 2013
in many countries and more needs to be done to make growth more “inclusive”.In the second part we estimate the trend … the growth rates of GDP trend. For Africa as a hole and for most countries we find relatively low trend growth rates until … the mid-nineties. Since then the trend growth rates rose remarkably - for Africa from 2 % to about 5 %. In the last five …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010641423
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Trend and Cycles in U.S. Real GDP
Flaig, Gebhard - CESifo - 2001
In this paper an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose U.S. real GDP into trend and cycle components … the long-run development during the last 50 years can be represented by a segmented linear trend with a break in the drift …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196244
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Unoberserved Components Models for Quarterly German GDP
Flaig, Gebhard - CESifo - 2002
In this paper, an Unobserved Components Model is employed to decompose German real GDP into the trend, cycle and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005405783
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The Hodrick-Prescott Filter with a Time-Varying Penalization Parameter. An Application for the Trend Estimation of Global Temperature.
Blöchl, Andreas; Flaig, Gebhard - CESifo - 2014
with a reliable estimation of the trend component at the end of the data sample. To this end we employ time-varying values … of the flexible penalization the trend component of temperature is still increasing, possibly with a somewhat lower pace. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010734331