Showing 1 - 10 of 18
between 15.1% and 45.2% too much capital. These estimates suggest that, even before they burst, bubbles adversely affect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123799
that SPC in general might be a useful tool in constructing early warning systems for asset price bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089851
Should the central bank prevent 'excessive' asset price dynamics or should it wait until the boom spontaneously turns into a crash and intervene only afterwards? The debate over this issue goes back at least to the exchange between Bernanke-Gertler (BG) and Cecchetti but has not settled yet. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092104
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963776
Home equity is the primary self-funding mechanism for long term services and supports (LTSS). Using data from the relevant waves of the Health and Retirement Study (1996-2010), we exploit the exogenous variation in the form of wealth shocks resulting from the value of housing assets, to examine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926994
We develop a model of rational bubbles based on leverage and the assumption of an imprecisely known maximum market size … lend to traders with limited liability in a bubble is endogenous. Bubbles reduce welfare of future investors. We provide … general conditions for the possibility of bubbles depending on uncertainty about market size, traders' degree of leverage and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899999
Bubbles are omnipresent in lab experiments with asset markets. Most of these experiments were conducted in environments … smaller bubbles if human traders expect algorithmic traders to be present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013009851
, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988972
We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments' popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047326