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Financial Stability in Europe : Banking and Sovereign Risk
Bruha, Jan - 2017
We analyze the link between banking sector quality and sovereign risk in the whole European Union over 1999–2014. We employ four different indicators of sovereign risk (including market- and opinion-based assessments), a rich set of theoretically and empirically motivated banking sector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955275
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Sovereign Rating News and Financial Markets Spillovers : Evidence from the European Debt Crisis
Arezki, Rabah - 2011
This paper examines the spillover effects of sovereign rating news on European financial markets during the period 2007-2010. Our main finding is that sovereign rating downgrades have statistically and economically significant spillover effects both across countries and financial markets. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127179
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Global and Regional Financial Integration in Emerging Asia : Evidence from Stock Markets
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2017
This paper employs a price-based measure of integration, namely stock return differentials between ten emerging Asian economies and the US (as an indicator of global integration), as well as Japan and the Asian region (as two alternative indicators of regional integration), to test for mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954357
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Financial Integration, Globalization, and Real Activity
De Nicolo, Gianni - 2013
distinct impact of financial integration and globalization on several dimensions of real activity. We find that: financial … financial integration predict better growth prospects; both advances in financial integration and globalization are associated … financial integration and globalization indeed foster countries' growth, and there appears to be no trade-off between these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091562
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Comparing Default Predictions in the Rating Industry for Different Sets of Obligors
Kraemer, Walter - 2016
We generalize the refinement ordering for well calibrated probability forecasters to the case were the debtors under consideration are not necessarily identical. This ordering is consistent with many well known skill scores used in practice. We also add an illustration using default predictions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012996461
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EU Banks Rating Assignments : Is there Heterogeneity between New and Old Member Countries?
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2013
We model EU countries' bank ratings using financial variables and allowing for intercept and slope heterogeneity. Our aim is to assess whether “old” and “new” EU countries are rated differently and to determine whether “new” ones are assigned lower ratings, ceteris paribus, than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094667
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Bank Capital Regulation with an Opportunistic Rating Agency
Efing, Matthias - 2013
This paper models the strategic interaction between a rating agency, a bank and a bank regulator who lacks information about bank asset risk. The regulator can either (1) make bank capital requirements contingent on credit ratings; or (2) set rating-independent capital requirements. Truthful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013080503
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Risk Management-Driven Policy Rate Gap
Caggiano, Giovanni - 2018
We employ real-time data available to the US monetary policy makers to estimate a Taylor rule augmented with a measure of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910624
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Resolving Sovereign Debt Crises : The Role of Political Risk
Trebesch, Christoph - 2018
Sovereign defaults are bad news for investors and debtor countries, in particular if a default becomes messy and protracted. Why are some debt crises resolved quickly, in a matter of months, while others take many years to settle? This paper studies the duration of sovereign debt crises based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910995
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Hypnosis Before Wake-Up Call?! The Revival of Sovereign Credit Risk Perception in the EMU-Crisis
Bordon, Ingo G. - 2014
This paper qualifies the view of pronounced overpricing of sovereign bonds for the so-called GIIPS countries during the financial crisis. We use annual data for 21 OECD countries from 1980 to 2012. As opposed to related studies, our data set allows us to contrast the pricing of macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047313