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and restructuring in two distinct samples: 1920-1939, focusing on the defaults on official (government to government) debt …This paper studies sovereign debt relief in a long-term perspective. We quantify the relief achieved through default … in advanced economies after World War I; and 1978-2010, focusing on emerging market debt crises with private external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019408
are considerably larger in periods of private debt overhang. In particular, we find significant crowding-out of personal … consumption and investment in low-debt states, resulting in multipliers that are significantly below one. Conversely, in periods … of private debt overhang, there is a strong crowding-in effect, while multipliers are much larger than one. In high-debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024365
protracted. Why are some debt crises resolved quickly, in a matter of months, while others take many years to settle? This paper … studies the duration of sovereign debt crises based on a new dataset and case study archive on debt renegotiations between … suggests that debtor countries often lack the political ability to resolve a debt crisis. Governments in turmoil are unlikely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910995
The Target liabilities of the GIPS countries (Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain) amounted to 314 billion euros in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092688
which we incorporate financial imperfections to study the interactions between debt, liquidity and asset prices. We show … booms can mask this structural aggregate demand deficiency. However, the resulting debt overhang permanently depresses … spending in the long run since deleveraging becomes self-defeating because of debt deflation. These findings are in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927578
We offer a new methodology for the assessment of public debt sustainability in a stochastic economy when sovereign … default taken into account. The default threshold differs from the no-Ponzi condition and depends on the post-default debt … sequence of shocks. We highlight the role of the debt recovery ratio on the whole dynamics of public debt. When a sovereign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950605
debt burden is high, followed by deeper debt restructuring if post-crises debt proves unsustainable. The mechanism is … easily implemented by amending ESM guidelines and compelling countries to issue debt with Creditor Participation Clauses … (CPCs). As debt is rolled over, the mechanism gradually phases in, leaving countries time to reduce debt. Given that private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982263
debt management strategies adopted by Norway and compare these with rules that would prevail under the permanent income … current fiscal rules, since Norway is on a trajectory of turning a current net asset-GDP-ratio close to one into a net debt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070656
A windfall of natural resource revenue (or foreign aid) faces government with choices of how to manage public debt … is large relative to initial foreign debt, is it optimal to build a SWF. The optimal time profile of consumption is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764524
We examine whether the Chinese exchange rate is misaligned and how Chinese trade flows respond to the exchange rate and to economic activity. We find, first, that the Chinese currency, the renminbi (RMB), is substantially below the value predicted by estimates based upon a cross-country sample,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012753166