Showing 1 - 10 of 489
constitute long-term appreciation expectations on yuan and yen, which have made China and Japan vulnerable to U.S. interest rate … cuts and appreciation expectation shocks. For both China and Japan – at different points of time – self-fulfilling runs …, speculative bubbles and post-bubble secular stagnation. To prevent a similar scenario for China capital controls, a tighter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988972
Should the central bank prevent 'excessive' asset price dynamics or should it wait until the boom spontaneously turns into a crash and intervene only afterwards? The debate over this issue goes back at least to the exchange between Bernanke-Gertler (BG) and Cecchetti but has not settled yet. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092104
What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 … countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while … others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014986
demonstrate that loose monetary conditions lead to booms in real estate lending and house prices bubbles; these, in turn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030308
This paper provides a comprehensive empirical assessment of the relation between the cyclicality of fiscal policy, output volatility, and economic growth, using a large cross-section of 88 countries over the period 1960 to 2004. Identification of the effects of (endogenous) cyclical fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316549
The role of improved schooling, a central part of most development strategies, has become controversial because expansion of school attainment has not guaranteed improved economic conditions. This paper reviews the role of education in promoting economic wellbeing, with a particular focus on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777643
In this paper we determine the main driving forces underlying the structural transformation and urbanization process in rapidly industrializing countries. We use a dynamic, small open economy model with an abundant supply of surplus labor in rural areas, two types of traded goods manufactured in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997164
Are natural resources a “curse” or a “blessing”? The empirical evidence suggests either outcome is possible. The paper surveys a variety of hypotheses and supporting evidence for why some countries benefit and others lose from the presence of natural resources. These include that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094532
How do financial development and financial integration interact? We focus on Japan's Great Recession after 1990 to … reference to prefectures' different historical pathways to financial development. After Japan's opening to trade in the 19th …, the main export hub for silk, provided silk reelers with trade loans. Many regional banks in Japan were founded as local …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087279
This paper answers fundamental questions that have preoccupied modern economic thought since the 18th century. What is the aggregate real rate of return in the economy? Is it higher than the growth rate of the economy and, if so, by how much? Is there a tendency for returns to fall in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012921279